Settle each bet W / L / Push to track real profit. Enter the closing line to score your CLV — beating it consistently over 100+ bets = your edge is mathematically real.
Median line + shaded 5th–95th percentile. Variance swamps the edge early — which is why a 24-hour bot result proves nothing.
A book's prices imply probabilities summing over 100% — the excess is their cut. Strip it (Shin method, corrected for longshot bias) to get the true probability.
Moneyline, spreads, totals, player props. If a book pays better than the fair price, that mispricing is your edge. Field Check shows every book's number so you spot stale lines.
EV = fairProb × decimalOdds − 1. Stake = edge ÷ (odds−1), quarter of it, capped at 5% of bankroll.
When two books disagree enough, you can bet both sides for a guaranteed profit regardless of outcome. Those get flagged 🔒 at the top.
Soft books limit and ban winners. Bet round numbers, spread action, don't get greedy. Real edge, real shelf life.